Photo by Flickr user Michael Knowles (mknowles) used under a Creative Commons License

The NBA draft lottery is tonight and we get to find out how much David Stern likes the new Warrior’s ownership group. everyone knows the deal, but there is a 73% chance the Warrior’s will pick 1-3 or 7th and keep their pick. If the 27% comes up then they ship their pick off to Utah as part of a couple of trades that netted the Warrior’s a back-up point guard that barely played and the rights to further protect the pick that lead to Klay Thompson. That further protection ended up being unnecessary.

There was talk of the Warrior’s making another deal with Utah to protect this pick no matter what happened in the lottery tonight, but it sounds like those talks have fallen apart. Not really surprised, as I am not sure why Utah would agree to such a deal without heavy compensation. Next year’s pick that could go to Utah will be top 6 protected, but if there is any chance greater than about 5% of the Warrior’s landing in the top 6 then the season was an unmitigated disaster and the whole team needs to be taken Florida to have their faces eaten off by dudes on some new form of LSD. I have to say I am glad the Warrior’s are not trading away the farm to hedge against 27%.  In this game you have to have bigger cajones than that.

TK is predicting that the Warrior’s end up with the #3 pick, a bold prediction since they only have a 4.9% chance this happens. Really though it is typical TK because there are no downsides to this prediction only massive bragging rights if it comes up true. Maybe TK really does think Stern doesn’t bounce the balls with full integrity. This would probably mean drafting MKG and a collective post-coital cigarette by Warrior’s fans.

So what do you think? I am going to go against the odds and say the Warrior’s slip back and lose the pick and this nightmare will finally be over.

Posted by Jake in draft, trade rumors

Tags: 2012 draft, lottery, MKG