Reviewing the draft
Some early thoughts on the Warriors’ draft last night:
Harrison Barnes — I certainly have my issues with Barnes. As a Duke fan, I followed his career pretty closely starting with his bizarre signing day press conference. At times, he looked like one of the best players in the country, and he definitely proved he can make big shots in the clutch. But he would also completely disappear for stretches at at time — especially when Kendall Marshall was out, as we saw in the tournament this year — and shied away from contact and rebounding. I still recommend the Grantland article for the best overall take on his…weird and overly polished “career” thus far.
That said, there’s definitely a good chance that he becomes a solid pro, and an outside chance that he could be a star. He has great size for the position, his physical tools are off the charts, and he can make outside shots. He’s also clearly bright and motivated, he just hasn’t channeled it in effective ways. He played in a system that isn’t conducive to showing off the sort of pick and roll and one-on-one play that he’ll focus on in the league, so we could see a lot more drives when he’s playing in a pro offense. The biggest red flag to me is that he hasn’t shown much of an interest or ability in the passing department, though he hasn’t been a Maggette-esque black hole either.
I think the key will be for the Warriors to teach him how to take advantage of his natural abilities more productively. I think Jackson will be an effective motivator for getting Barnes to play hard and be more physical, but I’m also desperately hoping that Michael Malone comes back so he can teach him the finer points on how to be an NBA 3.
The good news is that he has the physical tools and motivation to be a great player. The best case scenario on why he hasn’t lived up to the hype thus far is that he’s been misguided: focused too much on brand and legacy, playing in a system that didn’t take full advantage of his talent, and not properly coached to be more physical and take advantage of his (measured off the court) athleticism. I think we’ll know early on if things will be different for him at the NBA level.
And as for other options at 7, I think Drummond has a chance to be special and at the very least a valuable trading piece down the road, but it’s indisputable that Barnes will be a better immediate contributor. And there wasn’t anyone else I would have taken over either of those two at 7. So I think it’s a defensible pick — my biggest disappointment on the night is simply that MKG didn’t unexpectedly fall to a place where the Warriors could grab him.
Festus Ezeli — I don’t know much about him, but seems like a solid backup center and I like the reports that he dominated Zeller in workouts. I also like the talk of 5% body fat, so he should be strong enough to bang with the biggest centers in the league and at the very least give some quality backup fouls from the 5. Only thing he’ll need to do next year is play some defense, and if they can get that at the center position from the 30th pick then I’ll take it.
Draymond Green — Like everyone else, I really like this pick. Saw him play several times during his career and it was obvious that he’s a special player and has an incredible basketball IQ. The big question will be where he fits in on the court given his size. Seems to me like he could be a great stretch-4 who also plays a bit of point forward, making plays and drawing his man out of the lane. But will he be able to defend 4′s on the other end? His thickness and great rebounding numbers suggest he can, but we definitely won’t know for sure until we see him actually play.
Ognjen Kuzmic — Who knows, but just from his size it seems like he’s worth taking a flyer on. We’ll check in on him in a few years.
Overall, right now I’d give the Warriors a B+ for the draft. At the very least they should end up with a decent starter and one or two solid rotation players, with a chance for much more than that. And perhaps best of all, I’m really looking forward to seeing not only how these new guys play in the summer league, but how the whole team plays next fall — if everyone gets healthy, they should actually play like a complete team and should knock on the door for a playoff spot. While I still want to get a pass-first point guard on the roster, they filled a lot of holes last night and should be much improved next year.